From Bad to Worse

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine will have indirect consequences for relations between India and China. In the near term, those appear to be mixed limited. Over long however, Moscow’s strategic misadventure threatens position as an independent power, a defense supplier India, champion non-Western diplomatic initiatives that tend encourage more stable China–India relations. The war also produce “systemic” effects, including altered global expectations about prospects major-power conflict resurgence US-led treaty alliances. combination, these war-driven outcomes are likely accelerate deterioration was already underway before February 2022.